F1, F2, F3 ja muud autospordisarjad 2026

I checked archived 2025 weather records for the circuit areas and nearby weather stations. One caveat: for several of these circuits, there is no weather station directly at the track, so the figures are from the nearest representative station/area rather than the exact track surface. WeatherSpark, for example, uses airport observations and MERRA-2 reconstruction where necessary. ([Weather Spark][1])

The dates are **Saturday, November 29, 2025** and **Saturday, December 6, 2025**.

### Historical conditions

| Circuit | Nov 29, 2025 | Conditions | Dec 6, 2025 | Conditions |
| ------------------------------ | -----------: | ------------------------------- | -----------: | ------------------------------------------------- |
| **Algarve / Portimão** | **~9–16°C** | Mostly clear / sunny, dry | **~13–17°C** | Partly cloudy, light rain possible |
| **Hockenheimring** | **~5–8°C** | Cloudy/foggy, damp; light rain | **~2–6°C** | Cold, cloudy; rain/fog risk |
| **Imola** | **~4–11°C** | Mostly cloudy/partly sunny, dry | **~2–10°C** | Cloudy, dry/light precipitation risk |
| **Jerez** | **9–16°C** | **Clear and sunny, dry** | **~11–18°C** | Mild; partly cloudy/light rain possible |
| **Magny-Cours** | **~2–8°C** | Cloudy/foggy, damp | **~1–7°C** | Cold, cloudy; rain/fog risk |
| **MotorLand Aragón / Alcañiz** | **~3–13°C** | Mostly clear, dry | **~3–14°C** | Sunny/partly cloudy, dry |
| **Mugello** | **~1–10°C** | Cool, partly cloudy/clear; dry | **~0–9°C** | Cold, potentially foggy; dry |
| **Nürburgring** | **~2–7°C** | Cloudy/foggy, damp | **~0–5°C** | Very cold; fog/frost risk, precipitation possible |
| **Paul Ricard / Le Castellet** | **~6–13°C** | Partly cloudy, generally dry | **~5–13°C** | Mostly clear/partly cloudy, dry |

**Jerez is the one where we have particularly good day-specific data:** the archived November record gives **9°C minimum / 16°C maximum on November 29**, with **0 mm precipitation and clear skies throughout the day**. ([Historique Météo][2])

For Algarve, the archived December data shows December 6 starting around **14°C** and reaching roughly **17°C**, with light rain/sun conditions during the afternoon. ([Historique Météo][3])

### What this means for F1

If the question is **"which of these could realistically host an F1 race on those dates?"**, the list separates quite sharply:

**Best weather bets**

1. **Jerez** — easily the safest thermally. November 29 was 9–16°C and completely dry; December should still be comparatively mild. ([Historique Météo][2])
2. **Algarve** — very good temperatures, although rain is a genuine possibility. November 2025 averaged about **18°C highs / 14°C lows** across the Algarve. ([Historique Météo][4])
3. **Paul Ricard** — probably the best French option. Le Castellet's normal November temperatures are considerably better than central/northern France, although December still gets cool. ([Weather Spark][5])
4. **MotorLand Aragón** — surprisingly viable. It is cold at night because of the inland elevation, but afternoons can still reach the low-to-mid teens.

**Borderline**
5. **Imola**
6. **Mugello**

Imola is particularly interesting because its November climatology falls rapidly toward roughly **10°C daytime / 3°C nighttime** by the end of the month. ([Weather Spark][6]) Mugello's elevation makes the morning situation worse than the headline Italian climate suggests.

**Poor choices**
7. **Magny-Cours**
8. **Hockenheimring**
9. **Nürburgring**

The German tracks are the real problem. Hockenheim's normal late-November temperatures are roughly **7°C daytime and 2°C overnight**, while Nürburgring is colder still. ([Weather Spark][7])

Magny-Cours is similarly problematic: its normal November range falls to roughly **8°C/2°C** toward the end of the month. ([Weather Spark][8])

### The bigger problem isn't actually snow

For F1, **track temperature is more problematic than air temperature**.

A race at:

* **Jerez:** ~15–18°C air → potentially workable.
* **Algarve:** ~15–17°C → workable, but wet-weather risk.
* **Paul Ricard:** ~10–13°C → marginal but potentially workable.
* **Imola:** ~8–11°C → tyre warm-up becomes a serious issue.
* **Mugello:** ~7–10°C → increasingly problematic.
* **Hockenheim/Magny-Cours:** ~5–8°C → very marginal.
* **Nürburgring:** potentially **near freezing in the morning** → effectively a non-starter.

Snow itself isn't necessarily the primary concern. **Cold track temperatures, frost, fog, standing water and limited daylight** are much more serious operational problems. WeatherSpark's historical data for Jerez, for example, shows fog/mist events during November even though the November 29 itself was completely clear. ([Weather Spark][1])

Germany illustrates the issue particularly well: the broader November 2025 German record had temperatures falling substantially during the second half of the month, with late-November conditions around **8°C daytime and 2–5°C overnight** in many areas. ([Historique Météo][9])

**My ranking purely for a late-November/early-December F1 replacement:**

**Jerez > Algarve > Paul Ricard > MotorLand Aragón > Imola > Mugello > Magny-Cours > Hockenheim > Nürburgring**

If the race were specifically **December 6**, I'd put even more weight on Jerez/Algarve/Paul Ricard. The German circuits would be extremely difficult to justify.

[1]: https://weatherspark.com/h/m/33181/2025/11/Historical-Weather-in-November-2025-in-Jerez-de-la-Frontera-Spain "Jerez de la Frontera November 2025 Historical Weather Data (Spain) - Weather Spark"
[2]: https://www.historique-meteo.net/europe/espagne/xeres/2025/11/?utm_source=chatgpt.com "Météo à Jerez de la Frontera en novembre 2025 : Quel temps faisait-il ?"
[3]: https://www.historique-meteo.net/europe/portugal/r/algarve-1776/2025/12/?utm_source=chatgpt.com "Algarve : Météo en décembre 2025 - Portugal - Historique des prévisions météo"
[4]: https://www.historique-meteo.net/europe/portugal/r/algarve-1776/2025/11/?utm_source=chatgpt.com "Algarve : Météo en novembre 2025 - Portugal - Historique des prévisions météo"
[5]: https://weatherspark.com/m/51605/11/Average-Weather-in-November-in-Le-Castellet-France?utm_source=chatgpt.com "Le Castellet November Weather, Average Temperature (France) - Weather Spark"
[6]: https://weatherspark.com/m/69187/11/Average-Weather-in-November-in-Imola-Italy?utm_source=chatgpt.com "Imola November Weather, Average Temperature (Italy) - Weather Spark"
[7]: https://weatherspark.com/m/60964/11/Average-Weather-in-November-in-Hockenheim-Baden-W%C3%BCrttemberg-Germany?utm_source=chatgpt.com "Hockenheim November Weather, Average Temperature (Baden-Württemberg, Germany) - Weather Spark"
[8]: https://weatherspark.com/m/49328/11/Average-Weather-in-November-in-Magny-Cours-France?utm_source=chatgpt.com "Magny-Cours November Weather, Average Temperature (France) - Weather Spark"
[9]: https://www.historique-meteo.net/europe/allemagne/2025/11/?utm_source=chatgpt.com "Allemagne : Météo en novembre 2025 - Historique des prévisions météo"