[Scart]

MEXICO CITY (AP) -- Mexico's state-run oil company said Monday that oil production fell 7.8 percent to 2.91 million barrels a day in the first quarter as current reserves dwindle.

Petroleos Mexicanos, or Pemex, has struggled with falling reserves, especially at its main Cantarell oil field, and lacks the money and expertise to launch new drilling projects. Pemex only has enough proven oil reserves to last nine years at current production rates.

Mehhiko on naftaimporter 2010. 2/5 Mehhiko riigi eelarvest tuleb naftamüügist - kui teil on soovi Mehhikos puhkamas käia, siis soojalt soovitan nüüd ära käia.
---

IEA ütleb otse, et 2015 on meil vaja 12,5 miljonit barrelit rohkem päevase kogusena, kui praegu. Nemad selle võimalust eriti suureks ei pea. Game over.
---

High, wide and fuel-hungry, the gleaming black Cadillac Escalade on display at the Beijing auto show is an unlikely car for an era of record oil prices.

But while sport utility vehicle sales in the U.S. are tumbling, automakers are finding that for China's newly prosperous car buyers, bigger is still better.

So General Motors Corp. has made the Escalade a star of its auto-show display and is eager to get it on the market here.

"If you look at the fastest-growing market segments in China, there are two — SUVs and luxury cars," said Joseph Y.H. Liu, GM China's vice president for sales and marketing.

Auto sales in China are booming, with analysts and automakers forecasting growth at 15-20 percent this year. But demand for the biggest vehicles is even stronger, with sales of luxury cars and SUVs expected to surge by 40-45 percent.

[Tanel]

Scart, Hiinas on miljonäride arv nüüd sama suur kui Saksamaal ja kütte hind sama või odavam kui USA-s.
(subsideeritud?)

Tarbimispidu ja pillerkaar jätkugu

[Scart]

[Tanel]

Siberi igikeltsa kohta öeldakse sama, et kui sealsed külmunud sood üles sulavad, paiskub õhku meeletu metaanikogus.

EDIT: ei lugenud su kommentaarist kohe välja, et jutt käibki Siberi Arktika kohta

[pents]

Dominoefekt..inimkond andis tõuke ja loodus ise tegutseb edasi

[Scart]

Major retailers in New York, in areas of New England, and on the West Coast are limiting purchases of flour, rice, and cooking oil as demand outstrips supply. There are also anecdotal reports that some consumers are hoarding grain stocks.

At a Costco Warehouse in Mountain View, Calif., yesterday, shoppers grew frustrated and occasionally uttered expletives as they searched in vain for the large sacks of rice they usually buy.

“Where’s the rice?” an engineer from Palo Alto, Calif., Yajun Liu, said. “You should be able to buy something like rice. This is ridiculous.”

[matrix]

Tegelikult metaan piikis juba mõned aastad tagasi, kuna USA ja EL on prügimajanduse üha rohkem käsile võtnud. Varem olid prügimäed just suurimad metaani allikad. Pealegi on metaani poolestusaeg atmosfääris mingi 12 aastat, nii et erilist katastroofi nüüd küll karta ei ole.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Image:Methane-global-average-2006.jpg

[Scart]

Täna kukub 120$. 40 senti puudu

[Fiocchi]

Aga mis te kullahinna tulevikust arvate? Enne mingi aeg ennustati, et aina tõuseb. Täna vaatasin aga, et on hoopis langusesse pööranud. Mul õnnestus vist viimati paar kuldmünti just kõige kõrgema hinna juures osta

[riaak]

Umbes 40 päevaga on kulla hind pea 10% langenud.

[prints]

kuld on lihtsalt sellesmõttes hea et kui saad osta täna tükikese kulla eest päts leiba siis saab kindlasti ka 30 aasta pärast selle tükikese eest päts leiba
ei sa kasu ja ei sa kahju

[namstoop]

mida helli need ETVst näidatava "Planeet Maa tulevik" tegijad küll mõtlevad? Eriti jabur koht oli seal. Demonstreerimaks usundite olulistust keskkonna- ja looduskaitselise sõnumi viimisel massidesse, toodi näitena dalai-laama üleskutset mitte kanda karusnahku. No ok, tore, ei tapeta enam tiigreid seal nii palju. Aga siis näitati ilmselgelt positiivses valguses seda, et kohalikud siis võtsid kätte ja põletasid kõik oma karusnahksed riided ära. Et jubedalt tore tegu. Isegi kõige vaesemad tegid seda jne. Mingi tädi veel õnnest särades kommenteeris seda. Eriti haige...

ja siis nad kindlasti läksid ja ostsid oma viimaste säästude eest asemele mingid muud soojad riided? Toodetud Hiinas. Ülimalt keskkonnasõbralikult kindlasti.

[Koolja]

Ei tea kas see saade on juba siin kirjutajate kõrvu jõudnud? http://rs365.rapidshare.com/files/109625700/kliima_soojenemisest.mp3
Päris saate lõpus mainitakse filmi nimega "The Great Global Warming Swindle". Selle võiks samuti ära vaadata. Mina magan juba mõnda aega pisut rahulikumalt.

[Scart]

[Koolja]

Kumb neist suurem ämber on, kas "An Inconvenient Truth" või "The Great Global Warming Swindle"? Vaevusid selle raadiosaate ka ära kuulama?

[Tanel]

Koolja, loe palun, "The Great Global Warming Swindle" on täielik fopaa
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Great_Global_Warming_Swindle#Reactions_from_scientists

[namstoop]

võta üks ja viska teist

http://scienceandpublicpolicy.org/monckton/goreerrors.html

[Scart]

"It is a true massacre what is happening in the world," Chavez said in a televised speech, citing U.N. statistics about deaths caused by hunger and malnourishment.

"The problem is not the production of food ... it is the economic, social and political model of the world. The capitalist model is in crisis."


Ma arvan millegipärast, et tal on õigus.
---

Pressure for international action to combat the "silent tsunami" of the global food crisis intensified amid warnings that spiralling prices meant more than 100 million people could be plunged into hunger.

A Downing Street food summit called by Gordon Brown heard calls for the World Bank and International Monetary Fund to bring forward aid payments to countries worst hit as the first step towards a co-ordinated action by the G8 industrialised nations to tackle the worst food crisis for a generation.
---

Vanakooli uhkes keeles oli vist brittidel väljent: "the shiteth has hiteth the faneth"

I don't want to alarm anybody, but maybe it's time for Americans to start stockpiling food.

No, this is not a drill.

You've seen the TV footage of food riots in parts of the developing world. Yes, they're a long way away from the U.S. But most foodstuffs operate in a global market. When the cost of wheat soars in Asia, it will do the same here.

Reality: Food prices are already rising here much faster than the returns you are likely to get from keeping your money in a bank or money-market fund. And there are very good reasons to believe prices on the shelves are about to start rising a lot faster.

"Load up the pantry," says Manu Daftary, one of Wall Street's top investors and the manager of the Quaker Strategic Growth mutual fund. "I think prices are going higher. People are too complacent. They think it isn't going to happen here. But I don't know how the food companies can absorb higher costs." (Full disclosure: I am an investor in Quaker Strategic)

WSJ ei räägi just tihti sellistest asjadest.
---

130$?

According to this report by CNN, BP has confirmed that the Forties pipeline system may have to close if the Grangemouth strike goes ahead. 700,000 bpd UK North Sea production may be lost.

In addition to lost oil production, many gas fields may also have to be shut down as liquids produced with the gas will have no export route. More news on natural gas production if it is confirmed that the strike will go ahead.

[marti252]

link :: Russian Oil Has `Peaked,' Billionaire Vekselberg Says

Venemaaga on siis selge. Nüüd võib võib vist hakata juba piipu ja prille hoidma, sest sõita allamäge kogub tõsiselt hoogu

[Scart]

CHINA only has enough coal for 12 days of consumption, three days less than a month ago, state media reported Wednesday, sounding the alarm bells over the nation's most important source of energy.

In certain parts of China, such as densely populated Hebei province in the north, reserves are down to less than a week, Xinhua news agency reported, citing the China Electricity Regulatory Commission.

In the period since early March, coal reserves have slumped by 12 per cent to 46.7 million tonnes, according to the commission.

Reasons for the shortage were "multi-dimensional," the commission was quoted as saying, without elaborating.

Demand for coal has risen rapidly since China experienced brown-outs early this decade, motivating a construction frenzy in the power industry, with large numbers of new coal-fired plants emerging across the country.

China counts on coal for about 70 per cent of its energy consumption, a proportion that has stayed almost unchanged for the past nearly three decades despite a skyrocketing rise in demand for power.

[Plin500]

Kuulasin R2 ka just tehnoloogia kommentaari, kus räägiti samuti Hiina energia probleemist ja sellest tulenevalt probleemidejada ahelreaktsioonist. Tundub, et meie kõigi elustiilis viiakse juba lähitulevikus läbi "väiksed" reformid

[Shelby-SV]

Kaks USA jaeketti kehtestasid riisimüüginormi


hakkab pihta

[namstoop]

Hull piirang, kuni 4x9kg riisikotti. Igapäev ostad nii palju või?

Üsna suur osa selliste piirangute kehtestamisel ja puudjäägi tekkimisel ilmselt ongi ostupaanikal. Vähemalt esimeses lähenduses.

Nagu talongiajastul oli. Kapid olid kõigil kodu mingeid seepe jms täis, kõik mis sai, osteti kohe ära, igaks juhuks... Ja poed olid tühjad...

[marti252]

link :: The Globe and Mail: Global Food Crisis Comes to North America

Vancouver's Western Rice Mills Ltd. has been importing rice from Thailand
for years and sending it to grocery stores and restaurants across Canada.
But yesterday the Thai shipments stopped, leaving the company scrambling
to find supplies. "We've never seen anything like this in the history of this
company," said Lawry Poupart, controller at the company, which supplies
major chains including Safeway and Save On. "Everybody is precariously
watching what's happening in the world." The global rice crisis is also
starting to have an impact on North America. Sam's Club stores has began
restricting the amount of rice customers can buy at outlets across the U.S.

[Scart]

Huvitav, mis nüüd siis tegelikult asja taga on? Kas see, et tarbimine on kogus X ja tootmine on X miinus 1% pluss paanika või on asi milleski tõsisemas. Aga eks aeg annab selgitust!
---

OTTAWA - Prepare for gasoline prices to hit $2.25 a litre by 2012 and for crude oil to soar to $225 US a barrel as scant supply growth delivers us into the "age of scarcity," says CIBC World Markets chief economist Jeff Rubin.

"Our latest review of probable supply suggests oil production will hardly grow at all, with average daily production between now and 2012 rising by barely more than a million barrels per day, Rubin said in his report, The Age of Scarcity. "Despite the recent record jump in oil prices, the outlook suggests oil prices will continue to rise steadily over the next five years, almost doubling from current levels."

[pents]

Kui oleks eestis selleks ajaks 20 krooni liiter, siis polekski nii hull

[Scart]

[Tanel]

USA hakkab kütust ilmselt doteerima, sarnaselt India ja Indoneesiaga.
Näiteks India valitsus doteeris 2007 aastal kütusehindu 15mlrd dollarit.

[crypto]

Tanel, huvitav, kumb kokkuvõttes kasulikum on, kas doteerimine või mitte. Selles mõttes, et doteerides maksab riik oma eelarvest raha peale, et kütus odav oleks, sellega seoses siis ka transport ja majandus kasvaks, aga kui kütus kallim oleks, oleks nõudlus väiksem ja samas ei peaks ka eelarvest raha välja laduma

[pents]

[Tanel]

[RPG16]

Läheb huvitavaks, kui ma nüüd paari aasta pärast ise tööle lähen on vist juba kaheldav osta poest tuttuus bensiinimootoriga auto.
Ja minu arvates peaks lõpetama igast tasuta abi saatmine aafrikasse ja sinnakanti. Jah, seda on tehtud juba pikka aega, kuid on ju teada, et mustanahaline on suhteliselt laisk tegelane: miks peaks ta töötama, kui söök tuuakse väikese halamise peale kätte. Me peaks iseenda tuleviku peale mõtlema. Planeet ongi kahjuks/õnneks nii loodud, et tugevamad jäävad ellu. Kritiseerige mind nüüd kuidas tahate, olen ikkagi kindel oma arvamuses.

[davidco]

Tsüanobakterid pakuvad biokütuste tootmisel alternatiivi
http://www.postimees.ee/250408/esileht/olulised_teemad/tarbija24/auto/326446.php?tsuanobakterid-pakuvad-biokutuste-tootmisel-alternatiivi

[senso]

väga asjalik asi tundub olevat

[Shelby-SV]

RPG16

13.04.2008

[RPG16]

Sorry, ma pole su teksti lugenud, ütlesin vaid oma arvamuse

[Scart]

USA tulistas jälle Iraani paatide pihta, ju nad tahavad kah 120$ ära näha.
---

It used to be that only environmentalists and paranoids warned about running out of oil. Not anymore. As climate change did over the past few years, peak oil seems poised to become the next big idea commanding the attention of governments, businesses and citizens the world over. The arrival of $119-a-barrel crude and $4-a-gallon gasoline this spring are but the most obvious signs that global oil production has or soon will peak. With global demand inexorably rising, a limited supply will bring higher, more volatile prices and eventually shortages that could provoke--to quote the title of the must-see peak oil documentary--the end of suburbia. If the era of cheap, abundant oil is indeed coming to a close, the world's economy and, paradoxically, the fight against climate change could be in deep trouble.

[Deadlock]

Petrol stations run dry as minister sparks fuel panic by admitting: 'Supplies can't be guaranteed on every forecourt'

Petrol stations have started to run dry as thousands of motorists ignored appeals not to panic-buy ahead of a strike this weekend at one of Britain's biggest oil refineries.

A number of filling stations in the Edinburgh area reported severe shortages as queues of cars formed and customers reportedly stockpiled fuel by filling up jerry cans before paying.

There were also reports of petrol stations running out of diesel. The shortages come after a Government minister warned he could not gaurantee that "every garage forecourt would have petrol".

link

[Scart]

On top of record-breaking rice prices and corn through the roof on ethanol demand, wheat is now rusting in the fields across Africa. Officials fear near total crop losses, and the fungus, known as Ug99, is spreading. Wheat prices have been soaring this week on top of already high prices, and futures contracts spiked, too, on panic buying.

Experts fear the cost of bread could soon follow the path of rice, the price of which has triggered riots in some countries and prompted countries to cut off exports.

Okei, ma hakkan juba kergelt muretsema meie kandi pärast.

[Plin500]

"Phantom Menace"

[Magic]

Kuradi pekki kisuvad asjad jah Kuigi see asi tuleb siia ikka päris pika vindiga...

[Scart]

LONDON (AFP) - A North Sea pipeline which supplies around 40 percent of Britain's oil and gas as well as international markets will shut down within hours because of a strike, operator BP said Saturday.

pewpew ja plärts, vaatame siis kuhu inglismannid jõuavad.
---

LONDON -(Dow Jones)- Roughly 58% of Nigeria's oil pumping capacity remained shut Saturday following an ongoing oil worker's strike and a series of recent militant attacks on energy infrastructure in Africa's biggest crude producing nation.

Dozens of workers of Exxon Mobile Corp.'s (XOM) local affiliate were off the job for a third day as the employees' union and the company remained at odds on bridging a series of gaps over issues, like worker pay.

The Nigerian government is trying to mediate the dispute, but little progress has yet to be made.

---

Nädalat paar ja USAs taotakse galloni eest 5$. Keskmine "enne makse ja bensiinijaama katet" hind on juba korralikult üle 3$ galloni... uhuh.
---

Cornell University’s College of Agricultural and Life Sciences has announced a US$26.8 million grant from the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation to launch a broad-based global partnership to combat deadly new variants of wheat stem rust that pose an enormous threat to global food security. The Durable Rust Resistance in Wheat project will bring together 15 partner institutions to combat this threatening disease. The partners will focus on developing improved rust resistant wheat varieties to protect resource-poor farmers and consumers from catastrophic crop losses in such vulnerable regions as India, Pakistan, East Africa, China, the Middle East and North Africa. At the USDA/USAID Food Aid Conference this week, USDA Secretary Schafer said the U.S. has shipped wheat breeding lines to east Africa, where scientists are working to find a rust-resistant strain and new protective measures. "This is an international science partnership at its best in the face of crisis that threatens most of the world's food," Sec. Schafer said.

Hea, et mul legaalne Vista masinas

[Tanel]

Analüütikud: nafta hind kahekordistub mõne aastaga

[crypto]

Tanel, sõidaks, aga mitte nii palju enam. Suvalised, bemmiga ringichillimised jäävad rullnokkadel vist ära

[Tanel]

[KrikU]

35-50% hinnatõusu tähendaks 6 aasta plaanis 5.83% - 8.33% hinnatõusu aastas. Alati ei pruugi ka hinnatõusu perioodid aastati ühtlaselt jaguneda muidugi. Ja spekulandid ON ka samuti mängus nagu kõik teavad!
Kui muud jura pole siis elab üle ju küll? 17.50 - 17.90 bensiin aasta pärast siis. Ikka sõidate ju Ja parim ökoauto on pisikese bensiinimootori + hübriidiga masin. Diisel võib täiendavalt kallineda tänu suurele ja suurenevale osakaalule transpordis.
Kütusehinnatõus ikka neile subsideeritavatele maadele ja muudele mõjub rohkem % kus nafta enda hind suurim osakaalult hinnas millega bensujaamas müüakse.

Huvitav milliseks kujuneb lähiaastate Eesti majanduskasv ja palgavärk ning üldse tööturg
Samuti kuhu hakkab eesti keskmise palga eest saadav kütusehulk liikuma lähiaastatel, sama ka muudes EL riikides.

Ei tea kas EL ka mingeid aktsiisikange peaks hakkama liigutama kui ikka päris tõsiseks crysiseks peaks minema? Vaevalt

See mu isiklik arvamus asjast.

[Magic]

Enne 20 tulekut vaevalt asi väga hapuks läheb...samas majanduskasvu mõjutab kindlasti

[namstoop]

No kui aastaks 2015 on 25 eek/l, siis see vast mingi maailmalõpp just veel ei ole.

Ma ei kannaks siiski maha süsteemi iseregulatsioonivõimet. Kui hind kerkib, siis mingist punktist tarbimine hakkab vähenema. Samal ajal tänu kerkinud hinnale saab kasutusel võtta seni vähemtasuvaid maardlaid. Ja see annab omakorda aega ja põhjust säästvamate lahenduste väljatöötamiseks, mis omakord vähendab tarbimist. Sest kuna see sektor on hetkel kuum ja arenev, siis suunatakse sinna ilmselt päris kena kopikas. See on muidugi idealiseeritud ja lihtsustatud lähenemine, aga umbes nii see võiks ju olla

Jama on muidugi selles, kui paanikakülvajad oma eesmärgile jõuavad ja läheb lahti üleüldine ostupalavik ning spekulandid hakkavad eriti ahneks minema. Ja lisaks on hunnik riike, mis kütuse hindadele peale maksab, need on siis turusolkijad Omajagu määramatust annavad juurde just Hiina ja India oma ühe suureneva energiavajadusega. Mis mujal toimuva kokkuhoiu rahulikult endale ahmivad. Aga seda teeks ju nagunii, lihtsalt nüüd ei tekki nii ruttu miinust.

[Tanel]

[Scart]