Tõsi, anti järgi jälle. Eks põetakse barreli turuhinnd pärast, iga väiksem liigutus surub seda üles-alla (nagu ebaloogiline stock market). Selle lahenduseks võiks olla see, et tunnistaks oma suurt miskalkulatsiooni Iraani puhul ja saaks see väin ilusti avatud lõplikult. Kus sa aga sellega
Do Magyar and Orban have anything in common?
Both Fidesz and Tisza are considered to be conservative, populist parties. Over the years, however, Fidesz has been moving more and more to the right, potraying Orban as Hungary's guarding from malicious forces abroad. Most notably, Orban has repeatedly hindered EU efforts to deliver aid to Ukraine amid the Russian invasion.
On Monday, Magyar said he supports Ukrainian EU membership, but would not support a "fast-track" acension to the bloc.
"For one thing, we are talking about a country at war; it is completely out of the question for the European Union to admit a country at war," he said.
Magyar said that every member state had to be treated the same, and that he would need stronger guarantees on the rights of ethnic Hungarians in Ukraine in order to fully support its bid.
Like Orban, Magyar has taken a hardline against immigration. According to Peter Kreko, he has "emphasized that he would like even less immigration to Hungary than the previous government."
That said, Kreko did not think Hungary would be seeing much of Orban in the future. "His political comeback, even in the middle or long run, is questionable," after how Hungarians viewed his friendliness with Russia, Kreko added.
Tisza garnered 138 seats of Hungary's 199-seat parliament in Sunday's election with 53% of the vote, while Fidesz got 55 seats and only 38% of the vote. As soon as parliament convenes, it is expected that Tisza's two-thirs majority will swifty elect Magyar as prime minister.
Leebem versioon Orbanist. _________________ M: Intel i5 4590 protsessorid: 10€/tk M: HP Elitedesk 800 G3 SFF: 90€/tk M: HP Elitedesk 800 G2 Mini 35W: 90€/tk
mathematically it amplifies the votes of small constituencies (usually rural ones that fidesz is advantaged at) and almost entirely negates the party list's balancing effect. in a fair system the list mandates would go to the party that lost out on individual constituencies but still got a sizeable chunk of the total votes. in hungary's system, despite fidesz doing worse on the individual mandates (only 10 out of the 106, despite getting 39% of the vote) they only got 42 list mandates, as compared to tisza's 45, a party that collected the other 96 individual mandates with only 53% of the vote.
the system as a whole skews extremely towards the winner, and specifically toward the one who can win in rural areas. since 2011, when fidesz enacted this system, every single party who ever won got a supermajority -- as it is by design, it was built to negate the political influence of left-wing urban voters. the only thing they did not design for is for tisza to win it all instead of fidesz.
i'm actively elated that tisza won, and glad fidesz practically handed them the tools to undo the ways they broke this country, but i really hope the 2030 election will be in an actually fair and proportional system. tisza did promise as such, and while it's likely gonna take a year or two until they get there, i can't wait to see it fixed.
The United Arab Emirates has opened talks with the U.S. about obtaining a financial backstop in case the Iran war plunges the oil-rich Persian Gulf state into a deeper crisis, U.S. officials said.
BEIJING, April 20 (Reuters) - China on Monday warned against military cooperation that could undermine trust and deepen division in the region, as the United States and the Philippines begin annual military exercises with expanded participation from Japan.
Aga miks need hiina nuhkivad seadmed halvemad on, kui näiteks usa vms riigi nuhkivad seadmed? _________________ Psychologists usually attribute belief in conspiracy theories to a number of psychopathological conditions such as paranoia, schizotypy, narcissism, and insecure attachment, or to a form of cognitive bias called "illusory pattern perception".
Aga miks need hiina nuhkivad seadmed halvemad on, kui näiteks usa vms riigi nuhkivad seadmed?
USA päritolu ettevõtetel pole kõigil kohustust nuhkida, Hiina omadel on. Ehk, et USA ja teiste rohkem demokraatlike riikide puhul on vähemalt mingigi võimalus, et ei nuhita, hiina puhul see garanteeritud.
Samamoodi, kui andmeid kogutakse on vastupidiselt hiinale lootus, et keegi lekitab motivatsioonid-tagamaad ja avaliku surve tõttu tõmmatakse veidikene tagasi, hinna puhul läheb lekitaja seina äärde ja jätkub samas vaimus.
Ehk, et sisuliselt on see kõigist si**adest valikutest kõige vähem si*ema, mitte parima, valimine. _________________ Elektri hinna ennustus
Aga miks need hiina nuhkivad seadmed halvemad on, kui näiteks usa vms riigi nuhkivad seadmed?
USA päritolu ettevõtetel pole kõigil kohustust nuhkida, Hiina omadel on. Ehk, et USA ja teiste rohkem demokraatlike riikide puhul on vähemalt mingigi võimalus, et ei nuhita, hiina puhul see garanteeritud.
Samamoodi, kui andmeid kogutakse on vastupidiselt hiinale lootus, et keegi lekitab motivatsioonid-tagamaad ja avaliku surve tõttu tõmmatakse veidikene tagasi, hinna puhul läheb lekitaja seina äärde ja jätkub samas vaimus.
Ehk, et sisuliselt on see kõigist si**adest valikutest kõige vähem si*ema, mitte parima, valimine.
USA päritolu ettevõtetel pole kõigil kohustust nuhkida, Hiina omadel on. Ehk, et USA ja teiste rohkem demokraatlike riikide puhul on vähemalt mingigi võimalus, et ei nuhita, hiina puhul see garanteeritud.
Kui suureks sa päriselt seda võimalust hindad, et ei nuhita , nagu päriselt See on pigem selline soovmõtlemine, et "äkki" nemad ei nuhi. Selline "meie armuke on palju ilusam, kui naabrimehe oma" suhtumine _________________ Psychologists usually attribute belief in conspiracy theories to a number of psychopathological conditions such as paranoia, schizotypy, narcissism, and insecure attachment, or to a form of cognitive bias called "illusory pattern perception".
Sa ju tagusid trummi siin 2016-2017 samuti, et tema ametiaja lõpuks on kogu globaalne tsivilisatsioon hävinenud ja autokraadid planeedi üle võtnud. Not sayin' it won't happen this time, but just sayin'
Sa ju tagusid trummi siin 2016-2017 samuti, et tema ametiaja lõpuks on kogu globaalne tsivilisatsioon hävinenud ja autokraadid planeedi üle võtnud. Not sayin' it won't happen this time, but just sayin'
Siis "oli oht", et pääseb veel teiseks ametiajaks pukki
Sa ju tagusid trummi siin 2016-2017 samuti, et tema ametiaja lõpuks on kogu globaalne tsivilisatsioon hävinenud ja autokraadid planeedi üle võtnud. Not sayin' it won't happen this time, but just sayin'
Ära muretse, maailm elab Trumpi ilusti üle, aga tsivilisatsioonis ma enam nii kindel ei oleks. _________________ ...life is random...so am I...
So, there is a fan. Time to grab your sh*t, gentlemen!
“Yesterday, you could feel a special atmosphere among the leaders — for the first time in years, there were no Russians in the room”
Tusk commented on a meeting of European leaders held without Orbán. According to him, the atmosphere was very warm and the discussion free from Moscow’s influence.
“At the inaugural session of the National Assembly, the European Union flag will return to the facade of the Parliament building alongside the Hungarian and Szekler flags,” Péter Magyar, the prime ministerial candidate of the Tisza Party, which won the April election, wrote in a Facebook post on Friday morning.
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Netherlands reaches deal with European cloud company to decrease U.S. tech reliance
The Dutch government has signed a contract with the European cloud platform STACKIT. This will allow Ministries and other government services to move to a European cloud service, decreasing reliance on American tech companies, the government announced. https://nltimes.nl/2026/04/24/netherlands-reaches-deal-european-cloud-company-decrease-us-tech-reliance
Kas keegi omab Bloomergi või Financial Timesi tellimust? _________________ M: Intel i5 4590 protsessorid: 10€/tk M: HP Elitedesk 800 G3 SFF: 90€/tk M: HP Elitedesk 800 G2 Mini 35W: 90€/tk
Keegi võiks Borisilt küsida, et kas £350M nädalas tuleb tema või nigeli taskust. 10 aastat ja piisavalt nädalaid. NHS võtaks selle raha hea meelega vastu ma arvan.
Kas keegi omab Bloomergi või Financial Timesi tellimust?
Ei oma kumbagi, aga kas Eestist ei näe neid artikleid?
Bloomberg
Spoiler
European Union leaders signaled that preliminary conditions are in place for Ukraine to begin the first stage of the membership process, a boost for Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy’s efforts to join the bloc.
At a summit in Cyprus Thursday, leaders agreed the first accession negotiations could start in the coming weeks and months, according to an EU official, who spoke on the condition of anonymity.
But any commitment on a date for Ukraine to join the EU remains elusive. The membership process for Croatia, the last country to join, took about a decade.
Thursday’s discussion took place amid a fresh push by Ukraine to join the bloc after Hungary lifted its veto on a long-stalled €90 billion ($105 billion) loan to the country.
Earlier, Zelenskiy said that his country deserved “full-fledged” membership, rejecting proposals for an alternative path to the EU that’s faster but with fewer rights. It follows a push by France and Germany ahead of the summit for an “associate membership” option for Ukraine.
“Ukraine does not need symbolic membership in the EU,” Zelenskiy said in remarks provided by his office before arriving in Cyprus for the gathering. “Ukraine is defending itself, and undoubtedly defending Europe as well.”
Ukraine Is One of Nine With Official EU Candidate Status
The renewed enlargement push takes place after the block on the loan was lifted and member states agreed on a new package of sanctions targeting Russia — party due to Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban’s election loss.
Arriving at the summit, Zelenskiy hailed the decision. “This is not just a positive decision, it’s not about just words,” he said. “It’s also about surviving.”
Read More: Ukraine to Get €90 Billion EU Loan as Orban Heads for the Exit
Officials in Kyiv and Brussels have been hoping that Orban’s departure will allow the accession process to gain momentum, particularly when it comes to formally starting to assess if Ukraine has met the required criteria to join. Orban had been blocking that process as well.
Peter Magyar, who scored an overwhelming victory over Orban this month, is expected to be sworn in as Hungary’s new prime minister in early May. But obstacles aside from Orban remain.
Despite agreeing to begin negotiations, there is little appetite among many member states to fast-track an application for a process that typically takes many years. Kyiv’s membership application is particularly sensitive because of concerns about the possible impact on the bloc’s budget, as well as on the agricultural and transportation sectors.
Speaking on his way into Thursday’s gathering, Lithuania’s President Gitanas Nauseda stressed the importance of a “merit-based” approach to enlargement, writing later in a post on X after meeting with Zelenskiy that he saw 2030 as a “target date” for the country.
Concerns that member states won’t embrace a quick accession process were heightened after Germany prepared a proposal that would grant Ukraine an “associate membership” to the EU, while moving forward with the accession process.
Under that plan, Ukraine would gradually be integrated into EU programs and attend the bloc’s meetings, but not have voting rights, according to the paper, which was seen by Bloomberg.
While Ukrainian officials have said they’re prepared to delay access to some EU programs, including its agriculture policy, Kyiv is adamant that it aspires to become a full member and wants firm commitments.
Belgian Prime Minister Bart De Wever expressed support for discussing different membership options for countries wanting to join the bloc.
“If we want to expand Europe it will probably be with the onion model of many layers of cooperation and I think we need to talk about that,” he told reporters ahead of the summit.
Zelenskiy has been pushing for a pledge to let Ukraine join as early as 2027 as part of any peace agreement with Russia. But the accession process usually takes years.
“We are defending our shared European values,” Zelenskiy said. “I believe that we deserve full membership in the European Union.”
Some member states offered firm backing. Estonian Prime Minister Kristen Michal said there’s no alternative to Ukraine’s full membership.
“We support Ukraine in European Union because, to be honest, there’s no other way,” Michal told Bloomberg Television in Cyprus.
FT
Spoiler
Canada will seek talks with Brussels to gain access to the EU’s “Made in Europe” manufacturing scheme, its industry minister has said, as Ottawa looks to boost trade beyond the US.
Brussels last month unveiled plans to shield strategic sectors such as clean energy technology and heavy industry from unfair competition from third countries, especially China, by limiting access to subsidies and public contracts in those areas to EU-based businesses.
However, manufacturers from countries with which Brussels has trade agreements could also be included if EU companies are offered reciprocal access to public subsidies and contracts in those markets.
Canada’s industry minister Mélanie Joly told the FT that Ottawa wanted to make sure that industrial policy in the EU and Canada was “aligned”.
Asked whether that meant she thought Canada should be included in the “Made in Europe” scheme, Joly said Ottawa’s goal was “to engage the EU to have a reciprocal approach”.
“We need to be able to be aligned . . . then we will be able to actually have our businesses compete and prosper,” she said.
Any deal between Ottawa and Brussels over their industrial sectors would support Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney’s appeal for “middle powers” to work together to form an economic counterweight to the US and China.
Carney’s call, made at the World Economic Forum in Davos earlier this year, was intended to counter protectionism and the influence of “hegemons and hyperscalers”, Joly said.
“We need to have the middle powers working together . . . really creating an economic bloc,” Joly added in an interview on the sidelines of the Hannover Messe industry fair in Germany earlier this week.
“We want to create a level playing field . . . for European companies in Canada, but vice versa also,” she said.
Canada and the EU agreed a trade deal in 2016. But Ottawa last year also announced its own “Buy Canadian” policy, which gives preference to domestic businesses for government funding in strategic sectors such as defence, health and infrastructure.
The EU’s “Made in Europe” bill, formally called the Industrial Accelerator Act (IAA), is designed to boost the bloc’s manufacturing output, which fell from 17.4 per cent of EU GDP in 2000 to 14.3 per cent in 2024.
It has, however, sparked concern among industries such as the German car sector and some member states that it could create barriers to free trade.
Clauses excluding trade partners from small electric vehicle subsidies or corporate fleet schemes have also sparked fears for car sector jobs in countries such as the UK.
EU officials have told the FT they are open to deals with third countries, which could be made after the IAA has been adopted, potentially by the end of the year.
The Commission declined to comment on Joly’s intervention but a spokesperson said that the IAA proposals ensure “trade partners covered by bilateral agreements have access to our public procurement markets”.
Access for countries covered by free trade agreements “depends on the specific commitments the EU has undertaken towards each country”, the spokesperson added.
In a bid to reduce its over-reliance on trade with America, Canada wants to double its non-US exports by 2035 and raise approximately $300bn in new deals in Asia and Europe.
Poola peaminister Donald Tusk hoiatas Financial Timesile antud intervjuus, et Venemaa võib mõne kuu jooksul rünnata NATO riike.
Tusk kahtleb, kas Ühendriigid täidaksid oma kaitsekohustusi NATO lepingu viienda artikli alusel.
On ebatõenäoline, et mõned NATO riigid teesklesid, et midagi ei juhtunud, kui Vene droonid eelmise aasta septembris Poola õhuruumi rikkusid.
Hoiatus tuleb ajal, mil president Donald Trump on ähvardanud NATO-st lahkuda ja EL kaalub omaenda kaitseklauslit.
https://www.ft.com/content/1a5a2502-a45a-40c1-af6f-b30ecc34bacb?syn-25a6b1a6=1
Tohoh. Millega see Venemaa peaks NATO riike ründama siis? _________________ M: Intel i5 4590 protsessorid: 10€/tk M: HP Elitedesk 800 G3 SFF: 90€/tk M: HP Elitedesk 800 G2 Mini 35W: 90€/tk
Ilma mobilisatsioonita ei tuleks mingist "rünnakust" suurt midagi välja.
Jah nad võivad meile kaela saata shahedid ja mõned raketid ja sellega tsiviilisikuid tappa, aga maismaainvasioon maavägedega on mobilisatsioonita võimatu, kuna neil juba Ukrainas juba teist kuus sõdurite defitsiit. Sureb rohkem, kui värvatakse.
Osad räägivad, et mobilisatsiooni plaanitakse peale 9 Mai pidustusi, aga seda on oletatud iga aasta. _________________ Win11 25H2 upgrade skriptid neile kelle masin ise ei taha 23H2 või 24H2 pealt ennast uuendada: https://foorum.hinnavaatlus.ee/viewtopic.php?p=11720738#11720738
Youtube lisa vene jama eemaldamiseks: https://foorum.hinnavaatlus.ee/viewtopic.php?p=11745846#11745846
Ilma mobilisatsioonita ei tuleks mingist "rünnakust" suurt midagi välja.
Jah nad võivad meile kaela saata shahedid ja mõned raketid ja sellega tsiviilisikuid tappa, aga maismaainvasioon maavägedega on mobilisatsioonita võimatu, kuna neil juba Ukrainas juba teist kuus sõdurite defitsiit. Sureb rohkem, kui värvatakse.
Osad räägivad, et mobilisatsiooni plaanitakse peale 9 Mai pidustusi, aga seda on oletatud iga aasta.
Jah ja ei... NATO enda maaväed on hetkel suht kehvakesed nii või naa - Ukrainas oli 2014 alates aega valmistuda, meil, ausalt öeldes, istutakse ikka veel tagumikku laiaks. Jah, on maakaitse ja rohkem õppusi ja asju aga kuna tagala sügavust pole jääb palju liitlastele kes istuvad ikka veel oma mugavas tsoonis. Esimesed laksud peale ja siis pole meeletut väge maismaa jaoks tarvis. Kui Valgevene kaasa õnnestub tõmmata on minimaalselt Suwalki kaudu varustamine problemaatiline ja Balti riike kenasti destabiliseeritud (hunnik kaubavahetust käib ka sealt kaudu, palju pole vajagi, tõmmatakse majandust veelgi rohkem ebastabiilseks jne).
Mingid märgid mobilisatsioonist on kogu aeg olnud - et kohe-kohe võidakse ära teha. Kas ja millal - tõenäoliselt ei tea ka putin ise seda aga kui just ei taheta Ukrainas saba jalgevahele tõmmata tuleb venelastel mobilisatsioon mingi hetk ära teha. Ja kui see juba tehtud on vaja seda eelkõige moskva ja peterburi inimestele õigustada - küll siis järgmine suur isamaasõda propasse tuuakse. _________________ Elektri hinna ennustus
ref, Fakt on see, et pomme ja droone võib saata. Rakette kah, aga lõpuks on vaja inimest, kes tuleb ja maaala hõivab. Selleks, et baltikumi tervikuna rünnata on vaja 100k minimaalselt, aga see on ainult 1:1.
Selleks, et rünnak edukas oleks on ju tavaliselt vaja 3:1. Meil jääks venelased ilmselt ida või lääne-virumaale toppama, sest logistika venib liiga pikaks nagu Kiievi ründamisel oli.
See, et Suwalki ära lõigata Valgevene abiga tundub hulga reaalsem, sest seal on vaja hulga vähem vägesi ja tehnikat kitsal maaalal.
Iseasi mida selline blokaad saavutab, sest merd ja õhku venelased ei kontrolli NATO vastu, kuna nendes osades on NATO neist hulga tugevam. _________________ Win11 25H2 upgrade skriptid neile kelle masin ise ei taha 23H2 või 24H2 pealt ennast uuendada: https://foorum.hinnavaatlus.ee/viewtopic.php?p=11720738#11720738
Youtube lisa vene jama eemaldamiseks: https://foorum.hinnavaatlus.ee/viewtopic.php?p=11745846#11745846
Tomorrow, kui maismaa ära lõigata paneb see litaka Balti riikide niigi kehvale majandusele - koridori hoidmine valgevene abiga on tehtav (lollus aga tehtav). Eesmärk seal polekski Baltikumi vallutamine vaid NATO ja ka Baltikumi destabiliseerimine.
Enamikel NATO riikidel pole huvi jalaväge kohale tuua, õhuturbe jaoks on asjad piisavalt ohutud/stabiilsed ka siis kui koridor hõivatud ja käib sisuliselt positsioonisõda. Poola võibolla suudab koridori tagasi hõivata aga kuna kaliningrad on sisuliselt sõjaväeosa on vaja kas see vallutada (ebamõistlik, keegi ei hakka tegema kuigi lahendaks probleemi püsivalt) või vähemalt isoleerida - see võtab oma ressursi.
Putinile piisaks aga näidata, et NATO pole ühtne, et destabiliseerimine edukas oleks... Baltikumi osas - kui juba mingi ragistamine Poola - Leedu piiril käib on Eestil-Lätil vaja minimaalselt mingid reservid aktiveerida ja see tähendab päris kena osa aktiivsel tööturul osalevate inimeste mobiliseerimist. See omakorda mõjutab majandust otseselt ja suur osa neist, kes esimeses ringis polnud otsivad võimalusi piiritaha saada. Seda oli näha kenasti Ukrainas - pole mõtet halada, et peaks patriotismi olema ja mida kõike veel - alati on mingi grupp kes üle piiri putkab. Kel võimalusi ja pragmaatilisust - saadab oma pered kah kiirelt kuhugi kaugemale, see omakorda vähendab tööjõudu veelgi ning majandus saab veel rohkem pihta...
Selliseks paanikaks/destabiliseerimiseks pole isegi vaja koridori hõivata - mingi luhtunud dessant viib juba selleni, et usk tuleviku osas kannataks ja inimesed, täiesti enese alalhoiu eesmärgil, end kuhugi Hispaaniasse või kuhu iganes sätivad. Sealt edasi on juba Balti riikidel keeruline oma ~100k meest reservist välja panna ja venelaste vajadus väheneb kah... _________________ Elektri hinna ennustus
ref, Ma pole nõus, et Suwalki blokk Balti riikide majandusele suure paugu paneb.
Lennukite ja eriti laevadega saab liigutada hulga suuremat kogust kaupa, kui maismaa kaudu autodega. Isegi hiina pakikesed tuuakse meile juba lennukitega.
Olgu - ainult rongid suudavad maismaad pidi suurema koguse kaupa liigutada, aga Balti riikide raudtee rööpmelaiused on niikuinii erinevad võrreldes Euroopaga ja ka Suwalki blokaadi korral jääks Balti riikide sisene rongiliiklus tööle.
Selles osas olen nõus, et psühholoogiline efekt oleks palju hävitavam ja see ilmselt oleks ka eesmärk. Eriti, kui NATO ei suuda blokki kiiresti eemaldada.
Selline võimalus on olemas, aga ei tea, kas Kremli koridorides on arutatud ka alternatiivi - vastupani saab olema tugevam ja järsum kui oodati ning rinne, mis nüüd ju pikeneb Soome piiriga märkimisväärselt, peab liigagi edukalt vastu.
Tundub isegi Putinit vaadates ebareaalne, et soovitakse avada teine rinne konkreetselt NATO'ga.. Ehk ainult juhul, kui Hiina on samas paadis ning otsustakase, et "all in" _________________
ref, Ma pole nõus, et Suwalki blokk Balti riikide majandusele suure paugu paneb.
Kas paneb v ei pane, aga siis on 100% kindel, et Eesti majanduse kehvas seisus saab süüdistada jälle kedagi teist ja siinsed poliitikud saavad käed puhtaks pesta süüst
Tuletaks vbla seda aega meelde kui Vene-Ukraina jama hakkas ja kohe pmst esimesel päeval olid kõik teised süüdi majanduse allakäigus .
Poes kõige enimnõutud kaup peaks olema... Suurt koljut läbistavat malakat hädasti vaja Eesti poliitikutele. _________________ Win ISO'd ja uuendused Artiklid jagatud
ref, Ma pole nõus, et Suwalki blokk Balti riikide majandusele suure paugu paneb.
Lennukite ja eriti laevadega saab liigutada hulga suuremat kogust kaupa, kui maismaa kaudu autodega. Isegi hiina pakikesed tuuakse meile juba lennukitega.
Claude andis sellise graafiku veomahtude osas. Teetransporti on keerulisem hinnata kuna osa kaubavahetusest on sisuliselt otse - pole vaja midagi tollida-jälgida, B2C EL-i suunalt meile. _________________ Elektri hinna ennustus
The UAE has announced it will withdraw from Opec after more than five decades.
The decision will take effect on May 1.
UAE Energy Minister told Reuters on Tuesday that leaving OPEC and OPEC+ gives the United Arab Emirates flexibility as it has no obligations under the group, and says the country did not directly consult others, including Saudi Arabia, before the decision.
sa ei või postitada uusi teemasid siia foorumisse sa ei või vastata selle foorumi teemadele sa ei või muuta oma postitusi selles foorumis sa ei või kustutada oma postitusi selles foorumis sa ei või vastata küsitlustele selles foorumis sa ei saa lisada manuseid selles foorumis sa võid manuseid alla laadida selles foorumis
Hinnavaatlus ei vastuta foorumis tehtud postituste eest.
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